Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 4.386528 4.914495 5.489237 6.162720 6.931981 7.785204 8.805923
2025-02-02 3.717018 4.442047 5.291448 6.365506 7.695107 9.296914 11.387620
2025-02-09 3.256649 4.083654 5.107478 6.479641 8.287874 10.613450 13.869800
2025-02-16 2.916814 3.801560 4.946813 6.556632 8.791055 11.827310 16.342245
2025-02-23 2.654108 3.574104 4.811039 6.622496 9.252931 13.004775 18.891601
2025-03-02 2.364480 3.271580 4.530351 6.438467 9.317590 13.598519 20.636386
2025-03-09 2.156703 3.058448 4.346380 6.361577 9.512324 14.383018 22.751976
2025-03-16 1.977889 2.867711 4.172148 6.272938 9.666435 15.104789 24.843168
2025-03-23 1.907958 2.830050 4.218612 6.522984 10.374724 16.786826 28.786454
2025-03-30 1.785681 2.700534 4.110192 6.510720 10.643761 17.756694 31.596034
2025-04-06 1.667613 2.567082 3.982528 6.450996 10.819506 18.575191 34.229954
2025-04-13 1.501746 2.344450 3.692936 6.089777 10.426266 18.321128 34.741306
2025-04-20 1.423796 2.261533 3.630045 6.120577 10.752537 19.455954 38.257774
2025-04-27 1.382645 2.236366 3.661626 6.321037 11.414498 21.315095 43.600756
2025-05-04 1.329789 2.186902 3.646676 6.434095 11.920571 22.929365 48.692488
2025-05-11 1.275540 2.130608 3.614483 6.510432 12.360546 24.461681 53.866389
2025-05-18 1.224118 2.075246 3.578976 6.575758 12.783252 26.008957 59.353267
2025-05-25 1.142115 1.959372 3.424195 6.393204 12.669584 26.368854 61.971503
2025-06-01 1.081422 1.878100 3.327416 6.316929 12.772030 27.222288 65.999229
2025-06-08 1.024038 1.799173 3.229329 6.228998 12.838807 28.000159 69.969711
2025-06-15 1.011827 1.803757 3.291042 6.477044 13.680709 30.726563 79.841493
2025-06-22 0.969753 1.748764 3.232522 6.464878 13.925860 32.029378 85.920049
2025-06-29 0.925376 1.686572 3.155402 6.405632 14.053888 33.054206 91.385067